DiXi Group expert: report on assessing conformity of generating capacities is a standard forecasting instrument
Recently, the Ukrainian regulatory agency has for the first time approved the report on assessing conformity (sufficiency) of generating capacities, prepared by Ukrenergo NPC PrJSC.
A conformity assessment report is a standard instrument used by EU member states and the entire European community to forecast development of power systems, DiXi Group Research Director Roman Nitsovych said in his commentary.
“Recently, the Ukrainian regulatory agency (NEURC) has approved the report on assessing conformity (sufficiency) of generating capacities, prepared by Ukrenergo NPC. This is an unordinary event indeed, because it was the first time when such a strategic document was approved. All of its previous versions starting from 2017 had the status of project. A conformity assessment report is a standard instrument used by EU member states and the entire European community to forecast development of power systems,” Mr. Nitsovych said.
In particular, the forecasting includes assessment of demand, supply and related risks in a long term, and therefore, it allows to make decisions aimed to enhance security of electricity supply. For example, the Ukrenergo report contains the relevant scenarios until 2050.
“In other words, this assessment is necessary to forecast development of the electricity market and understand the ability of power system to meet consumer needs. An adequate capacity level must also be assessed to send the right signals to investors who will build new power stations. Overall, this forecasting must take into account all features typical for power systems of the future: distributed electricity generation, management of demand, increasing capacity of interconnectors, deployment of pumped storage systems and the like,” Mr. Nitsovych said.
The expert emphasized that the report may and must be revised depending on market situation.
“Surely, an approved report is not a dogma: depending on market situation and technological development, it may and must change to accommodate development of adjacent power systems and the progress in synchronization with ENTSO-E. But even having such a “general plan” is already a step toward building a more reliable and safe power system,” Mr. Nitsovych added.
It is worth reminding that today, the NEURC has for the first time approved the Transmission System Development Plan for 2020-2029, which sets out key areas and measures of developing Ukrenergo NPC’s networks, outlines estimated project implementation costs and sources of financing. The development plan is based on the report on assessing conformity (sufficiency) of generating capacities, prepared by Ukrenergo according to the Transmission System Code and accommodating development plans of distribution system operators and TSOs of Ukraine’s neighboring states.
